Press Release:
Press Release
News Article April 2005
With a bit of creativity and planning, ‘Yes’ says Pyramid Research
Cambridge, MA, April 14th, 2005 - As developed markets worldwide are seeing increased MVNO competition – more than 40 existing and planned MVNOs are in the US alone – emerging markets are the next window of opportunity. The upcoming report from Pyramid Research, “MVNOs in Emerging Markets,” makes the case for MVNOs in developing markets like India, Nigeria and others.
Report author Guy Zibi comments, “Emerging market MVNOs must be more cost-efficient than their developed market counterparts; they must also be more cost-efficient than emerging market mobile operators, most of whom are already fairly creative in keeping costs down.” To succeed in emerging markets, MVNO models will have to take into account the specificities of each market, and there is limited uniformity in successful models. From the Middle East to South East Asia and Africa, emerging markets are different; Zibi comments “The Middle East, for example, is ripe for a next generation, data-focused MVNO. India and Nigeria, on the other hand, may see more success from cost-driven models.”
The ‘affinity MVNO model’ is most optimal for most emerging markets; it extends the reach of the network without fully cannibalizing existing subscriber bases. According to the report, the main challenge prospective emerging market MVNOs face is not necessarily low ARPU, but network capacity and the extension of the addressable market. Zibi contends that an MVNO can potentially survive on $4-$5 ARPU, but the MVNO model must be re-adjusted to make this possible, largely on the cost side. To accomplish this, MVNOs must find a so-called ‘weakest link’ incumbent willing to lease capacity as most operators are unlikely to open their networks.
About “MVNOs in Emerging Markets,”
This report examines the prospects for MVNOs in emerging markets by analyzing the current MVNO market craze, the suitability of emerging markets for MVNOs, the best business model and the optimal partners. Our analysis also finds the MVNO ‘sweet spots’ and ‘fool’s gold’ markets and includes suitability analysis for the Middle East and Mexico, as well as hypothetical business cases for MVNOs in India and Nigeria.
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